Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsBowling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bowling game?

Bowling

Of 25 developers who shipped a Bowling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Bowling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $300 → $30 → $359 → $3.6k → $30 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Bowling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Top 5% $113k (exactly $112,875)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 92
Announced 31
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Bowling
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Bowling
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 926 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Bowling

0 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Bowling has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FlatOut 2 older $9.99 19,466 95% 584k $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
Rock of Ages older $9.99 3,364 92% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,191) ACE Team
PBA Pro Bowling 2026 $39.99 412 91% 12k $494k (exactly $494,276) FarSight Studios
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Premium Bowling older $19.99 467 93% 14k $280k (exactly $280,060) Sadetta
Bowling Alley Simulator $14.99 251 90% 7.5k $113k (exactly $112,875) Vulcron
PBA Pro Bowling 2023 older $29.99 102 68% 3.1k $92k (exactly $91,769) FarSight Studios
PBA Pro Bowling older $14.99 180 78% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) FarSight Studios
Salamander County Public Television older $9.99 233 96% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) Tinzone Games
Zombie Bowl-o-Rama older $9.99 218 94% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) MumboJumbo
Golden Tee Arcade Classics $29.99 45 86% 1.4k $40k (exactly $40,486) Digital Eclipse
Super 10 Pin $11.99 92 98% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,092) Modus Interactive
SPORTAL $7.99 57 94% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Sleepwalking Potatoes
Bowlers : The bowling experience $15.99 10 80% 300 $4.8k (exactly $4,797) Solid9Games
Rolling Ball: HD Remaster $59.99 2 50% 60 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) SUNYU Games
BOWLOUT $1.99 43 95% 1.3k $2.6k (exactly $2,567) Sep Horsthuis, Quint Winter
Skyline Bowling $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) VOODOO
Pin Money $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) thirtysmooth

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.