Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsBilliards

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Billiards game?

Billiards

Of 62 developers who shipped a Billiards game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 59 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 59 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Billiards
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $2.2k → $2.7k → $269 → $179 → $1.7k → $299 (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Billiards: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,873)
Top 5% $109k (exactly $109,277)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 180
Announced 59
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Billiards
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Billiards
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,488 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Billiards

0 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Billiards has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Who's Your Daddy?! older $9.99 25,797 80% 774k $7.7M (exactly $7,731,361) Evil Tortilla Games
Snooker 19 older $29.99 751 73% 23k $676k (exactly $675,675) Lab42
Virtual Pool 4 older $24.99 770 82% 23k $577k (exactly $577,269) Celeris
Cue Club 2: Pool & Snooker older $18.99 858 90% 26k $489k (exactly $488,803) Bulldog Interactive
Sports Bar VR older $19.99 784 83% 24k $470k (exactly $470,165) Cherry Pop Games, Perilous Orbit
Pool Nation older $6.99 2,208 89% 66k $463k (exactly $463,018) Cherry Pop Games
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Rabbit Burn older $14.99 680 89% 20k $306k (exactly $305,796) Bio Sapiens
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
Pure Pool older $9.99 672 58% 20k $201k (exactly $201,398) VooFoo Studios
Pure Pool Pro $24.99 206 66% 6.2k $154k (exactly $154,438) Rockwater
Flick Shot Rogues $14.99 295 87% 8.9k $133k (exactly $132,662) Butter By The Fish
Drop Pockets · EA $14.99 243 83% 7.3k $109k (exactly $109,277) Children of Madness
Ultrapool $11.99 265 88% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,320) Icedrop Games
Basketboy's Adventure $9.99 78 78% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) greenteagame1
My Car My Life · EA $1.99 171 98% 5.1k $10k (exactly $10,209) Noguiin
Innocent Au-pair $13.99 23 56% 690 $9.7k (exactly $9,653) alex_r
Ringer $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Ideas Per Second
The Backrooms: Rescue Expedition $9.99 21 33% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) {CRYTIME}

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.