Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsAnime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Anime game?

Anime

Of 3,513 developers who shipped an Anime game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5,032 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×8.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×836 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 5,032 games are announced against 2,128 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 5,032 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Anime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 3,513
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.2k → $8.6k → $4.7k → $4.5k → $4.2k → $5.1k → $3.4k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Anime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 3,513
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,161)
Top 5% $397k (exactly $397,085)
Developers, 2 yr 3,513
Released games 16,086
Announced 5,032
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Anime
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 735,712 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 2,558 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5,032 games are announced against 2,128 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Anime

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Anime has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Palworld $29.99 411,947 94% 12M $371M (exactly $370,628,716) Pocketpair
Persona 5 Royal older $59.99 91,682 96% 2.8M $165M (exactly $165,000,095) ATLUS
NieR:Automata™ older $39.99 115,103 88% 3.5M $138M (exactly $138,089,069) Square Enix, PlatinumGames Inc.
Devil May Cry 5 older $29.99 119,108 96% 3.6M $107M (exactly $107,161,468) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Need for Speed™ Unbound older $69.99 49,862 61% 1.5M $105M (exactly $104,695,241) Criterion Games
MONSTER HUNTER RISE older $39.99 79,847 84% 2.4M $96M (exactly $95,792,446) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
CODE VEIN older $59.99 46,315 83% 1.4M $83M (exactly $83,353,106) Bandai Namco Studios
TEKKEN 7 older $39.99 68,063 83% 2.0M $82M (exactly $81,655,181) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
Persona 3 Reload older $59.99 43,497 95% 1.3M $78M (exactly $78,281,551) ATLUS
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO $49.99 50,395 86% 1.5M $76M (exactly $75,577,382) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
MiSide $14.99 122,007 97% 3.7M $55M (exactly $54,866,548) AIHASTO
Metaphor: ReFantazio $69.99 25,224 89% 757k $53M (exactly $52,962,833) ATLUS
FINAL FANTASY VII REBIRTH $49.99 25,363 75% 761k $38M (exactly $38,036,891) Square Enix
The First Berserker: Khazan $59.99 21,049 85% 631k $38M (exactly $37,881,885) Neople
Digimon Story Time Stranger $69.99 15,845 89% 475k $33M (exactly $33,269,746) Media.Vision Inc.
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
AI LIMIT $34.99 22,833 92% 685k $24M (exactly $23,967,800) Sense Games
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.