Do I ship it?

GamesMoods1990's

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 1990s game?

1990's

Of 1,927 developers who shipped a 1990s game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,781 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×526 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 2,781 games are announced against 1,134 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 2,781 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
1990's
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,927
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $1.3k → $2.3k → $1.2k → $1.1k → $1.7k → $1.4k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 1990's: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,927
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,390)
Top 5% $250k (exactly $250,075)
Developers, 2 yr 1,927
Released games 5,337
Announced 2,781
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

1990's
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 95,777 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 1,027 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,781 games are announced against 1,134 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with 1990's

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with 1990's has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Counter-Strike older $9.99 169,780 96% 5.1M $51M (exactly $50,883,066) Valve
Pizza Tower older $19.99 66,350 98% 2.0M $40M (exactly $39,790,095) Tour De Pizza
Half-Life older $9.99 117,320 96% 3.5M $35M (exactly $35,160,804) Valve
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number older $14.99 69,423 94% 2.1M $31M (exactly $31,219,523) Dennaton Games
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas – The Definitive Edition older $59.99 15,628 80% 469k $28M (exactly $28,125,712) Rockstar Games
Wandering Sword older $24.99 37,034 94% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,764,390) The Swordman Studio
Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds $69.99 11,479 93% 344k $24M (exactly $24,102,456) Sonic Team
Crash Bandicoot™ N. Sane Trilogy older $39.99 16,613 92% 498k $20M (exactly $19,930,616) Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios
Command & Conquer™ Remastered Collection older $19.99 31,503 90% 945k $19M (exactly $18,892,349) Petroglyph, Lemon Sky Studios
Automobilista 2 older $39.99 12,002 91% 360k $14M (exactly $14,398,799) Reiza Studios
My Winter Car · EA $14.99 18,614 94% 558k $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716) Amistech Games
Lost Records: Bloom & Rage $39.99 5,873 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,045,838) DON'T NOD
Retro Rewind - Video Store Simulator $19.90 10,118 95% 304k $6.0M (exactly $6,040,446) Blood Pact Studios
Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven $49.99 3,921 93% 118k $5.9M (exactly $5,880,324) Square Enix, xeen Inc.
The Roottrees are Dead $19.99 9,700 96% 291k $5.8M (exactly $5,817,090) Evil Trout Inc.
ATLYSS · EA $9.99 19,244 96% 577k $5.8M (exactly $5,767,427) Kiseff
UNBEATABLE $27.99 6,552 92% 197k $5.5M (exactly $5,501,714) D-CELL GAMES
Mixtape $19.99 7,365 87% 221k $4.4M (exactly $4,416,790) Beethoven and Dinosaur
ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies $39.99 2,911 83% 87k $3.5M (exactly $3,492,327) ZA/UM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.