Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Racing game?

Racing + Zombies

Only 10 developers shipped a Zombie Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower Unite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $210 against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 19 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $3.4k → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 5% $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 60
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 89% positive over 16,276 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $210, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $9.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Brick Rigs older $19.99 53,749 95% 1.6M $32M (exactly $32,233,275) Fluppisoft GmbH
Tower Unite $19.99 16,237 89% 487k $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) PixelTail Games
Gas Guzzlers Extreme older $24.99 3,081 86% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,309,826) Gamepires
Blockland older $9.99 3,326 70% 100k $997k (exactly $996,802) Eric Hartman, Ben Garney, Anthony Roton… (Eric Hartman, Ben Garney, Anthony Rotondo)
Zombie Driver HD older $9.99 2,770 84% 83k $830k (exactly $830,169) Exor Studios
Earn to Die 2 older $4.99 2,238 93% 67k $335k (exactly $335,029) Toffee Games
Andarilho older $4.99 1,204 66% 36k $180k (exactly $180,239) SC Jogos
Drive 4 Survival · EA older $19.99 228 58% 6.8k $137k (exactly $136,732) M3M Games
Clutch older $9.99 125 79% 3.8k $37k (exactly $37,462) Targem Games
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever older $19.99 62 83% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) XR Games
Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit · EA $17.99 7 14% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Gloac Games, Gloac
Zompizza : The Last Delivery $4.99 23 91% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Broken Toilet Games
Doomriderz $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) SlicedBlue 3D
Undead Tread $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Fletcher Poole
Donut Riders · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) OUTRISE studios
Lawnmower Game Beer $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Phantom Break $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) AA Mini Games Studio
Lawnmower Game Horrorland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Zombie Overdrive $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Neton Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.