Should I ship a War Racing game?
Racing + War
Only 6 developers shipped a War Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,699) |
| Top 5% | $3.8k (exactly $3,778) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 68,394 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
Mad Max 2015 · $35M 
Need for Speed™ Rivals 2020 · $5.6M 
Renegade Ops 2011 · $452k 
SimplePlanes VR 2021 · $52k 
Dieselpunk Wars 2021 · $52k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mad Max | older | $19.99 | 57,651 91% | 1.7M | $35M (exactly $34,573,305) | Avalanche Studios |
| | Need for Speed™ Rivals | older | $19.99 | 9,265 76% | 278k | $5.6M (exactly $5,556,220) | Criterion Games |
| | Renegade Ops | older | $15.00 | 1,005 85% | 30k | $452k (exactly $452,250) | Avalanche Studios |
| | SimplePlanes VR | older | $9.99 | 175 86% | 5.3k | $52k (exactly $52,448) | Jundroo, LLC |
| | Dieselpunk Wars | older | $14.99 | 116 55% | 3.5k | $52k (exactly $52,165) | Image Power S.A., Roasted Games |
 | VOLTED | older | $4.99 | 151 85% | 4.5k | $23k (exactly $22,605) | Betterburg |
 | Deadblast | older | $9.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Gamesforgames |
 | Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit | · EA | $17.99 | 7 14% | 210 | $3.8k (exactly $3,778) | Gloac Games, Gloac |
 | Ultimate Bumper Cars - Dodgems | older | $17.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $3.2k (exactly $3,238) | ogsoftgames |
 | Real RC: Flight Simulator Aircraft Remote Control 2026 | $29.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $2.7k (exactly $2,699) | Thetis Games | |
 | Echo Wars - Road Rage | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Ivanovich Games | |
 | Pizza Blitz | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Glumpis Games | |
 | 雷霆之眼 | $7.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | 小如文化 | |
 | motorcycle combat | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | QplusQ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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