Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Racing game?

Racing + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 15 developers shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Open Wheel Manager 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $30 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $297 → $180 → $0 → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $30 (exactly $30)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $31,169)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 34
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Turn-Based Tactics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Sports, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 8 games average 82% positive over 193 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $30, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $31k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship older $19.99 12,146 82% 364k $7.3M (exactly $7,283,956) KT Racing
Death Roads: Tournament older $14.99 729 80% 22k $328k (exactly $327,831) The Knights of Unity
Qvadriga older $19.99 291 84% 8.7k $175k (exactly $174,513) Turnopia
Monopoly Madness older $29.99 94 43% 2.8k $85k (exactly $84,572) Engine Software, Ubisoft
Raceborn older $29.99 87 82% 2.6k $78k (exactly $78,274) Galactic Geckon
Open Wheel Manager 2 $9.99 104 72% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) Paprikash Games
Racingmaybe older $9.99 77 100% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,077) Jhoffis
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Delta Manager · EA $12.99 28 92% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Fassi Blue
Magnytour older $14.99 22 86% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) Pandaroo Interactive
Animal Run Relay $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) youdoyou.motto
Delta Vector - Turn Based Racing $3.99 12 83% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Felipe Pechmann
Life and death are predetermined by heaven $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Southern Vermilion Bird
The last throne $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SLW Game Studio
CRUSH IT ALL $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Summer Poem
Mortality $69.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 臻新
Piground $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jewelry

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.