Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tabletop Racing game?

Racing + Tabletop

Only 9 developers shipped a Tabletop Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 射!就完事了, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $59 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Racing + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $59 (exactly $59)
Top 25% $270 (exactly $270)
Top 5% $4.4k (exactly $4,358)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 42
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Tabletop
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 416 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $59, 1 in 4 over $270, 1 in 20 over $4.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The MoneyMakers Rallye older $3.99 85 88% 2.6k $10k (exactly $10,174) The Unknown Machine
Magnytour older $14.99 22 86% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) Pandaroo Interactive
Super Box Delivery: Beyond the Horizon older $4.99 38 81% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) Revulo Games
射!就完事了 $1.99 73 80% 2.2k $4.4k (exactly $4,358) HighSpeed Games
MiniTracks older $4.99 28 71% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) RIQPLAY
Minigames Mayhem · EA older $6.99 15 100% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) HamsterHam Games
IllusionCircle older $0.99 98 90% 2.9k $2.9k (exactly $2,911) cyy
Delta Vector - Turn Based Racing $3.99 12 83% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Felipe Pechmann
Puzzle Light: Connect older $0.99 44 93% 1.3k $1.3k (exactly $1,307) Waidy Andrade
Winter Games Challenge older $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Joindots GmbH, Nementic Games
GG-Party · EA $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) GoraGames
The last throne $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SLW Game Studio
Random Horse Derby $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Kornux Games
Lovely Traps Dungeon $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jau Studio
Snail Mail $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) WASD Studios
Cube Cube 2 $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) JiaJinTao
Transit Tag $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) plexstuff

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.