Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Racing Survival Horror?

Racing + Survival Horror

Only 4 developers shipped a Racing Survival Horror in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 15 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.1k against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 15

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Racing + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,100)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,000)
Developers, 4 yr 15
Released games 27
Announced 8
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Survival Horror
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 53,371 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $5.1k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
City Car Driving older $24.99 33,612 82% 1.0M $25M (exactly $25,198,916) Forward Development, Ltd.
Notes of Soul · EA older $29.99 14,293 73% 429k $13M (exactly $12,859,412) (Hong Kong)GKD Game Studio
FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction older $9.99 3,672 17% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,100,498) Team 6 Studios
GENSOU Skydrift older $23.99 561 88% 17k $404k (exactly $403,752) illuCalab
Drive 4 Survival · EA older $19.99 228 58% 6.8k $137k (exactly $136,732) M3M Games
Evil Tag older $1.99 641 66% 19k $38k (exactly $38,268) HFM Games
Drive Me to Hell older $1.99 268 89% 8.0k $16k (exactly $16,000) MadBug Studio
Junkyard Fury 2 older $9.99 42 92% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Daniel Hood
Love Room older $7.99 43 67% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) FoxPunch
Chamber Survival older $15.99 11 27% 330 $5.3k (exactly $5,277) daminggede
Final Word Royale $4.99 30 60% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) NyxWorks
Fatimopolis $2.99 23 73% 690 $2.1k (exactly $2,063) David Pateti
HUNTED $3.00 4 0% 120 $360 (exactly $360) Marcos moreira
Backrooms: Blackhole · EA $1.99 4 25% 120 $239 (exactly $239) SUDT Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.