Do I ship it?

Games › Racing › Racing + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Racing game?

Racing + Runner

Of 189 developers who shipped a Runner Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 205 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 95 developers shipped in the last year and 205 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 205 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 189
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $479 → $238 → $150 → $418 → $179 → $119 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 189
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $16,757)
Developers, 2 yr 189
Released games 626
Announced 205
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Runner; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,949 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 121 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 205 games are announced against 95 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Haste 2025 · $7.6M TrackDayR 2021 · EA · $1.7M Retrowave 2022 · $1.2M SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell 2016 · $922k Race The Sun 2013 · $592k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Haste $19.99 12,690 92% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) Landfall
TrackDayR · EA older $24.99 2,213 86% 66k $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) MadCow S.r.l.
Retrowave older $2.99 13,742 96% 412k $1.2M (exactly $1,232,657) RewindApp
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
Race The Sun older $9.99 1,974 93% 59k $592k (exactly $591,608) Flippfly LLC
Neon Drive older $9.99 1,664 86% 50k $499k (exactly $498,701) Fraoula, Spiky Crumb
Shio older $11.99 1,270 78% 38k $457k (exactly $456,819) Coconut Island Studio
Razortron 2000 older $4.99 3,045 86% 91k $456k (exactly $455,836) NukGames
Drift86 older $1.99 5,293 91% 159k $316k (exactly $315,992) RewindApp
DeathSprint 66 older $19.99 495 83% 15k $297k (exactly $296,852) Sumo Digital
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Retrowave 2 $4.99 449 88% 13k $67k (exactly $67,215) RewindApp
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Progress Racer RPG $5.99 133 94% 4.0k $24k (exactly $23,900) Cameron Ladjevardi, David Elliot
Hashire HEBEREKE: EX $21.99 30 100% 900 $20k (exactly $19,791) CRT GAMES
Ala Mobile $14.99 43 74% 1.3k $19k (exactly $19,337) CVi Games
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
Moto Rush Reborn $12.99 43 97% 1.3k $17k (exactly $16,757) Baltoro Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.