Do I ship it?

Games › Racing › Racing + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Racing game?

Racing + Precision Platformer

Of 146 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 134 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 81 developers shipped in the last year and 134 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 134 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 146
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $839 → $535 → $390 → $748 → $359 → $240 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 146
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $34k (exactly $34,037)
Developers, 2 yr 146
Released games 338
Announced 134
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,170 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $34k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 86 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 134 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Hot Lava 2019 · $3.2M PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC 2022 · $1.5M Cyber Hook 2020 · $1.4M SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell 2016 · $922k JellyCar Worlds 2022 · $242k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC older $29.99 1,644 92% 49k $1.5M (exactly $1,479,107) NOW PRODUCTION
Cyber Hook older $14.99 3,102 95% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,394,969) Blazing Stick
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
JellyCar Worlds older $7.99 1,008 96% 30k $242k (exactly $241,618) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Paddle Paddle Paddle $4.99 1,584 86% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Zoroarts
Rolled Out! · EA older $19.99 290 81% 8.7k $174k (exactly $173,913) Polarbyte Games, Skymap Games
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Remnants of Naezith older $9.99 440 95% 13k $132k (exactly $131,868) Tolga Ay
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
KilaFlow $19.99 134 97% 4.0k $80k (exactly $80,360) Chao Kompany LLC
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
Y2ROLL $14.99 81 93% 2.4k $36k (exactly $36,426) MenacingMecha
Galumb $7.99 148 28% 4.4k $35k (exactly $35,476) OB
Marble's Marbles $7.99 142 92% 4.3k $34k (exactly $34,037) James Oliver
CatboyZOOM · EA $9.99 95 97% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) Ethan Vuong, Brae Stoltz
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.