Games › Racing › Racing + Post-apocalyptic
Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Racing game?
Racing + Post-apocalyptic
Of 31 developers who shipped a Post-apocalyptic Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×2016 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 62 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) |
| Top 25% | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) |
| Top 5% | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 31 |
| Released games | 89 |
| Announced | 62 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Racing
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
- Post-apocalyptic
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Driving, Open World, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 22,319 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mad Max | older | $19.99 | 57,651 91% | 1.7M | $35M (exactly $34,573,305) | Avalanche Studios |
| | The Long Drive | · EA older | $15.99 | 50,184 88% | 1.5M | $24M (exactly $24,073,265) | Genesz |
| | RAGE 2 | older | $39.99 | 14,019 64% | 421k | $17M (exactly $16,818,594) | id Software, Avalanche Studios |
| | Drive Beyond Horizons | · EA | $24.99 | 17,903 77% | 537k | $13M (exactly $13,421,879) | Drive Beyond Horizons |
| | RAGE | older | $9.99 | 12,230 76% | 367k | $3.7M (exactly $3,665,331) | id Software |
| | FUMES | · EA | $14.99 | 2,816 95% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) | FUMES team |
| | UNDER the SAND - a road trip simulator | older | $19.99 | 1,556 78% | 47k | $933k (exactly $933,133) | IndieMax |
| | Zombie Driver HD | older | $9.99 | 2,770 84% | 83k | $830k (exactly $830,169) | Exor Studios |
| | Race The Sun | older | $9.99 | 1,974 93% | 59k | $592k (exactly $591,608) | Flippfly LLC |
| | Hard Truck Apocalypse / Ex Machina | older | $7.99 | 2,426 83% | 73k | $582k (exactly $581,512) | Targem Games |
| | The Slaverian Trucker | $11.99 | 789 85% | 24k | $284k (exactly $283,803) | SawyerK Games | |
| | Long Drive North: Co-Op RV Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 254 41% | 7.6k | $114k (exactly $114,224) | Mindflair Games LTD |
| | Retrowave 2 | $4.99 | 449 88% | 13k | $67k (exactly $67,215) | RewindApp | |
| | RoadOut | $14.99 | 34 97% | 1.0k | $15k (exactly $15,290) | Rastrolabs Game Studio | |
| | WATTGAMES | · EA | $24.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $9.7k (exactly $9,746) | TripleScience Software |
| | Apocalypse Truck Simulator | $9.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Festival of Delusion | |
| | Road Defense Racing | $3.99 | 36 97% | 1.1k | $4.3k (exactly $4,309) | Minicactus Games | |
| | Octopus Goulash | $12.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) | Alessio Serenellini |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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