Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Racing game?

Racing + Party Game

Of 70 developers who shipped a Party Game Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 124 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 60 developers shipped in the last year and 124 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 124 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 70
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $11k → $719 → $4.3k → $299 → $239 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 70
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 5% $69k (exactly $69,411)
Developers, 2 yr 70
Released games 126
Announced 124
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Party Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Action, PvP
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 10,496 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $69k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 124 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Make Way older $14.99 1,615 91% 48k $726k (exactly $726,266) Ice BEAM
Fling to the Finish older $19.99 849 85% 25k $509k (exactly $509,145) SplitSide Games
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Ultimate Sheep Raccoon $19.99 205 45% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Clever Endeavour Games
Mini Motor Racing X older $14.99 261 87% 7.8k $117k (exactly $117,372) The Binary Mill
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
Bar After Bar $6.99 331 87% 9.9k $69k (exactly $69,411) OneMan Tim
ROCKETSROCKETSROCKETS older $6.99 316 82% 9.5k $66k (exactly $66,265) Radial Games Corp, Loren Bednar, Dr. Ki… (Radial Games Corp, Loren Bednar, Dr. Kimberly Voll, Lindsay Jorgensen)
Slip & Skid $12.99 141 97% 4.2k $55k (exactly $54,948) NHOGS Interactive
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Nippon Marathon 2: Daijoubu · EA $10.99 17 94% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) Onion Soup Interactive
Lazy Climbers $4.99 35 68% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Cool Car Studio
PULLBACK RACERS $3.99 39 94% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) SkyBrave, blazitt, Gevizz
4 Rush Together $4.99 29 86% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Honglizi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.