Do I ship it?

Games › On-Rails Shooter › On-Rails Shooter + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike On-Rails Shooter?

On-Rails Shooter + Roguelike

Only 16 developers shipped a Roguelike On-Rails Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TurretGirls, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×1187 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
On-Rails Shooter + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $4.3k → $180 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for On-Rails Shooter + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 25% $7.4k (exactly $7,368)
Top 5% $564k (exactly $564,035)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 27
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

On-Rails Shooter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
On-Rails Shooter, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,517 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.3k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

On-Rails Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CyberpunkFair12 devs · median $3.1k · 17 announced
  2. + Tower DefenseFair11 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  3. + SimulationFair14 devs · median $718 · 13 announced
  4. + Bullet TimeLong shot8 devs · median $359 · 8 announced
  5. + RoguelitePoor odds15 devs · median $4.3k · 22 announced
  6. + Bullet HellPoor odds25 devs · median $3.2k · 47 announced
  7. + FuturisticPoor odds18 devs · median $3.2k · 22 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds10 devs · median $3.2k · 8 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 15 announced
  11. + FantasyPoor odds12 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  12. + AdventurePoor odds32 devs · median $2.2k · 47 announced

All 45 pairs on the On-Rails Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

TurretGirls 2025 · $564k Whisker Squadron: Survivor 2025 · $291k BeachHead 2024 · $43k Banzai Escape 2016 · $21k FUR Squadron Phoenix 2026 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TurretGirls $9.99 1,882 85% 56k $564k (exactly $564,035) NANAIRO ENTERPRISE
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
BeachHead older $14.99 95 66% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Digital Fusion Inc.
Banzai Escape older $6.99 101 72% 3.0k $21k (exactly $21,180) XenoAisam
FUR Squadron Phoenix $19.99 32 78% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Raptor Claw
Choo Choo Survivor 2 $5.99 41 85% 1.2k $7.4k (exactly $7,368) GTGD
Bricks Survivors $4.99 29 96% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) ChaNoCreArt
Unit Down older $4.99 22 95% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Randy Becker
Cyborg: Rise $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) fish world
BeachHead Rogue $4.99 19 73% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Digital Fusion Inc.
Dead In Your TrackZ $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Keyes Bros. Inc.
Dwarven Rails $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kogekisaru
Rogue Cave $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Rogue Gecko

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.