Do I ship it?

GamesResource ManagementResource Management + Noir

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Noir Resource Management game?

Resource Management + Noir

Only 18 developers shipped a Noir Resource Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hollywood Animal, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×4854 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 50 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 50 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Resource Management + Noir
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $1.1k → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Resource Management + Noir: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,887)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 5% $2.3M (exactly $2,305,846)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 37
Announced 50
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Noir
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Resource Management; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 4,076 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $4.9k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Resource Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceFair102 devs · median $11k · 131 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair15 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  3. + WesternFair19 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  4. + SnowFair24 devs · median $3.8k · 36 announced
  5. + JRPGFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced
  6. + UnderwaterFair51 devs · median $2.3k · 74 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair167 devs · median $1.9k · 222 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair630 devs · median $1.8k · 1,025 announced
  9. + IdlerFair656 devs · median $1.6k · 979 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair322 devs · median $1.5k · 495 announced
  11. + HorsesFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 18 announced
  12. + Quick-Time EventsFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced

All 214 pairs on the Resource Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hollywood Animal · EA $19.99 3,845 73% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,305,846) Weappy Wholesome
City of Gangsters older $29.99 1,332 73% 40k $1.2M (exactly $1,198,400) SomaSim
Heading Out older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas
The Pony Factory older $3.99 789 90% 24k $94k (exactly $94,443) David Szymanski, John Szymanski
Sunshine Shuffle older $9.99 156 76% 4.7k $47k (exactly $46,753) Strange Scaffold
GHOST at DAWN older $19.99 34 76% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) Blue and Red Games
Coffee Noir - Business Detective Game older $8.99 72 65% 2.2k $19k (exactly $19,418) DOJI, NAOS Software, Darkpowder
Grand Cru: The Wine Maker $14.99 37 86% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) hAi Corp
Ark Noir older $9.99 47 76% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Amamori Lab
非常魔王(Beelzebub) older $4.99 86 90% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) 王韋
Serra de Deus $4.99 85 94% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,724) David Pateti
Under His Eyes $9.99 17 29% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) HAS Games
Battle Of The Abyss $4.99 33 93% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) 1029studio
Just One More Link $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) Blagine
Housekeeper: Anomaly $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Alex Grim
Afterlight Catacombs $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Crit42 Studio
Smoke Town $6.99 9 100% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) TSRV
CurrentDay $2.99 12 100% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) HB Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.