Games › Racing › Racing + Noir
Should I ship a Noir Racing game?
Racing + Noir
Only 11 developers shipped a Noir Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Synthwave Burnout, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 5 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $418 (exactly $418) |
| Top 25% | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) |
| Top 5% | $293k (exactly $292,665) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 5 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 75% positive over 799 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 5 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020 · $107M 
Race The Sun 2013 · $592k 
Heading Out 2024 · $383k 
Synthwave Burnout 2025 · $293k 
7th Sector 2019 · $212k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mafia: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 88,955 86% | 2.7M | $107M (exactly $106,719,314) | Hangar 13 |
| | Race The Sun | older | $9.99 | 1,974 93% | 59k | $592k (exactly $591,608) | Flippfly LLC |
| | Heading Out | older | $19.99 | 639 74% | 19k | $383k (exactly $383,208) | Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas |
| | Synthwave Burnout | $12.99 | 751 74% | 23k | $293k (exactly $292,665) | Whale Rock Games | |
| | 7th Sector | older | $10.99 | 643 72% | 19k | $212k (exactly $211,997) | Носков Сергей |
 | Squad 51 vs. the Flying Saucers | older | $19.99 | 199 91% | 6.0k | $119k (exactly $119,340) | Loomiarts, Fehorama Filmes |
 | CyberTaxi | older | $9.99 | 178 64% | 5.3k | $53k (exactly $53,347) | Projects from Basement |
 | Street Heat | older | $7.99 | 17 58% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Astalo Games |
 | Octopus Goulash | $12.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $3.9k (exactly $3,897) | Alessio Serenellini | |
 | Arcade Moonlander | older | $0.99 | 94 96% | 2.8k | $2.8k (exactly $2,792) | Daniel Paul Griffin |
 | Neon Highways | $5.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $2.5k (exactly $2,516) | Flowbit Studio | |
 | Highway Noir | $11.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Archangel Softworks | |
 | Dead Head Drive | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Sleepdiver | |
 | Stickman 3D Wingsuit DELUXE | $1.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $418 (exactly $418) | Yurii Nikshych | |
 | Nightrunner | $0.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $356 (exactly $356) | Planetary Gears | |
 | 星界远航 Stellar Realm Voyage | · EA | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | SGAIZFTX |
 | Heistfest | · EA | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Amilcar Technologies |
 | Final Rider | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Delirium Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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