Do I ship it?

GamesResource ManagementResource Management + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Resource Management game?

Resource Management + Mystery

Of 104 developers who shipped a Mystery Resource Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 269 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×523 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 269 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 269 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Resource Management + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 104
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $2.5k → $719 → $1.3k → $1.2k → $599 → $2.7k (still earning) → $932 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Resource Management + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 104
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,689)
Top 5% $248k (exactly $248,462)
Developers, 2 yr 104
Released games 179
Announced 269
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Resource Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 11,178 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 269 games are announced against 71 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Resource Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceFair102 devs · median $11k · 131 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair15 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  3. + WesternFair19 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  4. + SnowFair24 devs · median $3.8k · 36 announced
  5. + JRPGFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced
  6. + UnderwaterFair51 devs · median $2.3k · 74 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair167 devs · median $1.9k · 222 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair630 devs · median $1.8k · 1,025 announced
  9. + IdlerFair656 devs · median $1.6k · 979 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair322 devs · median $1.5k · 495 announced
  11. + HorsesFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 18 announced
  12. + Quick-Time EventsFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced

All 214 pairs on the Resource Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Five Nights at Freddy's 2 older $7.99 23,871 93% 716k $5.7M (exactly $5,721,879) Scott Cawthon
Gloomwood · EA older $19.99 7,495 95% 225k $4.5M (exactly $4,494,752) Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Be… (Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Berens, Thomas Porta)
Techtonica $29.99 3,076 64% 92k $2.8M (exactly $2,767,477) Fire Hose Games
Little Goody Two Shoes older $19.99 2,209 95% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,324,737) AstralShift
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
Mystwood Manor older $19.99 1,362 85% 41k $817k (exactly $816,791) Faerin Games
Orb of Creation $11.99 2,167 84% 65k $779k (exactly $779,470) MarpleGames
Echoes of the Living · EA $24.99 1,005 83% 30k $753k (exactly $753,448) MoonGlint Studio
Starsand older $19.99 806 69% 24k $483k (exactly $483,358) Tunnel Vision Studio
Fantasy Blacksmith older $9.99 1,019 63% 31k $305k (exactly $305,394) Heaven Brotherhood
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
NO-SKIN $6.99 1,227 95% 37k $257k (exactly $257,302) NoEye-Soft
Backrooms Lost Runners · EA $13.99 592 75% 18k $248k (exactly $248,462) ShimStudioGames
Asbury Pines · EA $12.99 558 90% 17k $217k (exactly $217,453) Chaystar Unlimited LLC
Tostchu $7.99 594 84% 18k $142k (exactly $142,382) Ravenscape Collective
THE MUTE HOUSE $12.99 302 79% 9.1k $118k (exactly $117,689) December Blues Games
Terraformental · EA $5.99 365 97% 11k $66k (exactly $65,590) Shady Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.