Do I ship it?

Games › Racing › Racing + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Racing game?

Racing + Multiple Endings

Only 15 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Race of Life - Act 1, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $490k, ×791 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 31 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $2.4k → $2.1k → $2.4k → $1.3k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $358 (exactly $358)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,319)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,175)
Top 5% $497k (exactly $496,505)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 57
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Multiple Endings
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,611 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Race of Life - Act 1 2025 · $497k Heading Out 2024 · $383k 7th Sector 2019 · $212k JumpJet Rex 2015 · $74k Dark Succubus 2026 · $36k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Race of Life - Act 1 $13.99 1,183 94% 35k $497k (exactly $496,505) Underground Studio
Heading Out older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas
7th Sector older $10.99 643 72% 19k $212k (exactly $211,997) Носков Сергей
JumpJet Rex older $9.99 248 91% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) TreeFortress Games
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
My 1/6 Lover older $1.99 551 80% 17k $33k (exactly $32,895) lamb of game
Night Drive: คืนหลอน ซ่อนทาง older $7.99 112 85% 3.4k $27k (exactly $26,846) zebracan studio
Time Heals $10.99 78 74% 2.3k $26k (exactly $25,717) Owl`s
CuckTales 🐓 $9.99 84 67% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) Late Night Studios
Drift On Destiny Line · EA $14.00 51 82% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,420) Attractive Studios
Octopus Goulash $12.99 10 70% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Alessio Serenellini
Snowscape $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Cosnow, Yim Sang Woo, parser, MEADOWS95
Real Car Parking Simulator $10.99 4 75% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) FortStar
Duty Free Shop Simulator · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) CLOWN MAGIC
Lawnmower Game Battle 2: Reload $1.99 10 90% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.