Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground Mining game?

Mining + Underground

Of 90 developers who shipped an Underground Mining game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 150 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×1029 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 150 games are announced against 66 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 150 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 90
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $22k → $90k → $1.9k → $1.8k → $2.2k → $7.4k (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 90
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,084)
Top 5% $489k (exactly $488,802)
Developers, 2 yr 90
Released games 144
Announced 150
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Exploration, Crafting
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 31,751 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 150 games are announced against 66 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Game About Digging A Hole™ $4.99 18,785 89% 564k $2.8M (exactly $2,812,114) DoubleBee
MineMogul · EA $14.99 4,330 96% 130k $1.9M (exactly $1,947,201) NoodleForge (Gvarados & Diomonder)
KeeperRL older $19.99 1,677 83% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,005,697) Electric Succubi
The Spotter: Dig or Die $12.99 1,792 84% 54k $698k (exactly $698,342) Puppyroar Games
Lumencraft older $19.99 1,086 75% 33k $651k (exactly $651,274) 2Dynamic Games
Coal LLC $14.99 1,343 92% 40k $604k (exactly $603,947) Bye Bye Ocean
Alaska Gold Fever $16.99 959 79% 29k $489k (exactly $488,802) Baked Games
Super Motherload older $14.99 784 77% 24k $353k (exactly $352,565) XGen Studios
Meltopia $6.99 1,679 85% 50k $352k (exactly $352,086) Garden of Dreams
Mining Mechs older $2.99 2,577 89% 77k $231k (exactly $231,157) Delayed Victory
You Know The Drill $4.99 1,022 92% 31k $153k (exactly $152,993) ludokai
Diggin $6.99 635 80% 19k $133k (exactly $133,160) Longshot Studio
Deep Corp · EA $11.99 365 89% 11k $131k (exactly $131,290) KishMish Games
Super Mining Mechs $4.99 841 86% 25k $126k (exactly $125,898) Delayed Victory

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.