Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Mining game?

Mining + Robots

Only 18 developers shipped a Robot Mining game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Astronomics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×674 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 34 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 34 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $1.6k → $2.2k → $8.9k → $57k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,292)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $423,388)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 45
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Mining; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Exploration, Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,321 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SteamWorld Dig 2 older $19.99 5,700 95% 171k $3.4M (exactly $3,418,290) Image & Form Games
Automation Empire older $29.99 2,584 65% 78k $2.3M (exactly $2,324,825) DOG HOGGLER
SteamWorld Dig older $9.99 6,509 94% 195k $2.0M (exactly $1,950,747) Image & Form Games
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
Swarm Grinder older $7.99 1,163 76% 35k $279k (exactly $278,771) Last Bite Games
Mining Mechs older $2.99 2,577 89% 77k $231k (exactly $231,157) Delayed Victory
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
You Know The Drill $4.99 1,022 92% 31k $153k (exactly $152,993) ludokai
Chipmatic $11.99 158 65% 4.7k $57k (exactly $56,833) Molter
Mashina $9.99 141 97% 4.2k $42k (exactly $42,258) Talha and Jack Co, J. King-Spooner, Tal… (Talha and Jack Co, J. King-Spooner, Talha Kaya)
Robert on Earth $7.99 93 83% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,292) Remrofsnart
Gridkeeper $1.99 149 69% 4.5k $8.9k (exactly $8,895) pixelwide
Typhon: Bot vs Bot · EA $19.99 12 75% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Brightshade Games
Deep Space Tavern $5.99 21 90% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) World Away Games
Rescue Team: Legion of Destruction $6.99 13 100% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Game Mixer
Planet Miners $11.99 6 50% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Moon Ice Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.