Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Puzzle game?

Mining + Puzzle

Of 34 developers who shipped a Mining Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×351 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 51 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 51 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $1.9k → $2.2k → $299 → $479 → $2.7k → $1.8k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,821)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $166,582)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 110
Announced 51
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining, Puzzle; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Resource Management, Strategy, Crafting
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,840 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $7.8k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hidden Deep · EA older $24.99 4,293 76% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,218,462) Cogwheel Software
Click Mage $4.99 2,529 91% 76k $379k (exactly $378,591) Tiny Crow Games
Prodigal older $14.99 584 91% 18k $263k (exactly $262,625) Colorgrave
Eventide Matter $5.99 927 95% 28k $167k (exactly $166,582) Ottropi Games
Lighthouse Keeper older $11.99 336 81% 10k $121k (exactly $120,859) Stratera Games
Dungeon Digger older $39.99 98 81% 2.9k $118k (exactly $117,571) Galactic Geckon
Ad Fundum older $6.99 429 93% 13k $90k (exactly $89,961) Oldbut Gold
Anoxia Station $14.99 179 76% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Bonereaders
DigDigDrill $3.99 607 95% 18k $73k (exactly $72,658) Toorai
ITER-8 $12.99 161 70% 4.8k $63k (exactly $62,742) fluckyMachine
Snacktorio $7.99 215 90% 6.5k $52k (exactly $51,536) ellraiser
Mashina $9.99 141 97% 4.2k $42k (exactly $42,258) Talha and Jack Co, J. King-Spooner, Tal… (Talha and Jack Co, J. King-Spooner, Talha Kaya)
BOULDER DASH 40th Anniversary $19.99 31 83% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Star Mining Co. $8.99 29 82% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) Barney Whiteman
Dataminers $6.99 21 95% 630 $4.4k (exactly $4,404) Electrocosmos

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.