Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Mystery Dungeon?

Mining + Mystery Dungeon

Only 8 developers shipped a Mining Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abyss: New Dawn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $14k, ×30 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Mining + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,160)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,084)
Top 5% $14k (exactly $14,244)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining, Mystery Dungeon
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,589 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $14k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Diggles: The Myth of Fenris older $9.99 619 89% 19k $186k (exactly $185,514) Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, Genera… (Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, General Arcade)
Dungeon Digger older $39.99 98 81% 2.9k $118k (exactly $117,571) Galactic Geckon
ScrewUp older $9.99 259 68% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,622) 199 Cents STUDIO
Digs TD older $19.99 76 67% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Digs Team
The Sealed Ampoule older $19.99 56 80% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) CAVYHOUSE
Yuuna and the Haunted Hot Springs The Thrilling Steamy Maze Kiwami older $29.99 23 56% 690 $21k (exactly $20,693) FURYU CORPORATION
No Parachute older $4.99 116 89% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) Wherry
Abyss: New Dawn · EA $24.99 19 63% 570 $14k (exactly $14,244) Aloya Productions
Digging the Forgotten Cave $4.99 54 75% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Cavernauts
100 hidden gnomes older $0.99 269 79% 8.1k $8.0k (exactly $7,989) Anatoliy Loginovskikh, Drop_Dead_Fred
DOWNMOUSE $3.99 25 92% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) WobblyHandStudio
Terra Pit $2.00 36 86% 1.1k $2.2k (exactly $2,160) S-Grade, Yuliy Oneshko
Dark Mine $2.99 11 81% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Cyber752
Digger Beach $4.99 6 66% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Makatski
A Pirate Game About Digging For Treasure And Getting Drunk $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Benito Moises Monagas Rosario
Gatherlands · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bugurca Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.