Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Racing game?

Racing + Medieval

Only 9 developers shipped a Medieval Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ballex²: The Hanging Gardens, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10670% on the market, 10 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $0 → $30
Outcomes for Racing + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $449 (exactly $449)
Top 5% $80k (exactly $80,496)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 34
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 7,703 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $440, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ older $14.99 2,792 90% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,255,562) ACE Team
Rock of Ages older $9.99 3,364 92% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,191) ACE Team
Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) older $24.99 1,227 78% 37k $920k (exactly $919,882) Jutsu Games
Ballex²: The Hanging Gardens $14.99 179 95% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Mushreb Games
Balancelot older $7.99 67 94% 2.0k $16k (exactly $16,060) AnvilBird Interactive
Great Marble Adventure older $14.99 20 100% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) NaCl586
FPVSIM Drone Simulator older $8.99 12 16% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) fpvsim.com
Carnage Kart X · EA $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Two Brain Games
Moto Knight older $1.99 27 100% 810 $1.6k (exactly $1,612) Jonathan Trites
Park Up - Car older $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Dimension 42
Chimera Circuit $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) BLYTHE
Lawnmower Game Horrorland $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Number Wars $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Enaayah Software Development and Servic… (Enaayah Software Development and Services Private Limited)
AboFlah-intelliFinish $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) obada alnakib
Universe Of Trials $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Rohit Patidar
Kingdom Of Cubes $54.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Riddik
Jugger - the video game $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Knorrmal Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.