Do I ship it?

GamesResource ManagementResource Management + Match 3

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Match 3 Resource Management game?

Resource Management + Match 3

Only 6 developers shipped a Match 3 Resource Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Titanium Court, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $44k against a market of $480. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 92.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 43770% on the market, 20 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Resource Management + Match 3
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Resource Management + Match 3: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $44k (exactly $43,756)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $43,756)
Top 5% $492k (exactly $491,972)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 34
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 43770% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Match 3
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Resource Management, Match 3
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,681 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $44k, 1 in 4 over $43k, 1 in 20 over $490k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Resource Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceFair102 devs · median $11k · 131 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair15 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  3. + WesternFair19 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  4. + SnowFair24 devs · median $3.8k · 36 announced
  5. + JRPGFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced
  6. + UnderwaterFair51 devs · median $2.3k · 74 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair167 devs · median $1.9k · 222 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair630 devs · median $1.8k · 1,025 announced
  9. + IdlerFair656 devs · median $1.6k · 979 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair322 devs · median $1.5k · 495 announced
  11. + HorsesFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 18 announced
  12. + Quick-Time EventsFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced

All 214 pairs on the Resource Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Titanium Court $14.99 1,094 94% 33k $492k (exactly $491,972) AP Thomson
Wolf of Stock Street older $10.99 878 77% 26k $289k (exactly $289,477) 樹懶叫工作室, sloth gamer
Tiny Civilization older $1.99 2,134 92% 64k $127k (exactly $127,400) 喜人一个
Neon Village $9.99 146 86% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Encraft
Ink Reverie $9.99 146 74% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Rolling Cat Studio
Mystika 3 : Awakening of the dragons older $5.99 72 93% 2.2k $13k (exactly $12,938) Unikgame
Snake Crush older $3.99 95 87% 2.9k $11k (exactly $11,372) Sugarcane Games
Threes! older $5.99 56 96% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,063) Asher Vollmer, Greg Wohlwend, BigGiantC… (Asher Vollmer, Greg Wohlwend, BigGiantCircles)
Heart of Moon : The Mask of Seasons older $5.99 34 100% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) Unikgame
SUBARACITY older $4.99 26 61% 780 $3.9k (exactly $3,892) ESQUADRA,inc.
Suika Idle $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) GoldPumpkin Inc.
Gain Tiles Match: Trading Dilemma $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 铅傀儡之原工作室
T*RIFF U!! $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) drill

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.