Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Racing game?

Racing + Magic

Only 11 developers shipped a Magic Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WarOfGods 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $630. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 27 announced, ×6.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $0 → $30 → $9.7k
Outcomes for Racing + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,696)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 88% positive over 71 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Conquer and Breed the Demon Queen older $11.99 118 61% 3.5k $42k (exactly $42,445) Miel
The Unicorn Princess older $19.99 50 64% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Caipirinha Games
Little Witch Academia: VR Broom Racing older $29.99 20 90% 600 $18k (exactly $17,994) UNIVRS, Inc.
WarOfGods 2 $29.99 13 76% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Mensa World
Bibi & Tina - New adventures with horses older $17.99 19 78% 570 $10k (exactly $10,254) Korion Interactive
WATTGAMES · EA $24.99 13 84% 390 $9.7k (exactly $9,746) TripleScience Software
Bibi Blocksberg ™ - Big Broom Race 3 older $19.99 11 72% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Independent Arts Software
Zerun: The Tiny Planet $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Mirakar Studio, CINEMAX GAMES
Carnage Kart X · EA $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Two Brain Games
Marble Mage older $2.99 13 84% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Clay Dragon Games
Horse Spirit Valley 2 $6.99 4 50% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Antique Box Studio
Horse Spirit Valley $3.99 6 100% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Antique Box Studio
The Mystical Traveler $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Nebulystic
You Are Speed $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Emanuel N.M
Up, Up And Away Web ! $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Lunar Code Studio
Bruxa $4.20 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) xinela

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.