Do I ship it?

Games › Racing › Racing + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Racing game?

Racing + Logic

Of 30 developers who shipped a Logic Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 23 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $300 → $802 → $18k → $150 → $599 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,663)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,581)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 72
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle Platformer, Simulation, Driving
Price point
$4.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.00.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 596 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marble World 2022 · $760k Revhead 2017 · $358k CAR TUNE: Project 2020 · EA · $333k Ballex²: The Hanging Gardens 2025 · $80k A Game of Changes 2016 · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marble World older $19.99 1,268 89% 38k $760k (exactly $760,420) Vector Interactive
Revhead older $19.99 597 80% 18k $358k (exactly $358,021) Creative Pudding Hungary Llc.
CAR TUNE: Project · EA older $18.99 585 84% 18k $333k (exactly $333,274) Vertices Software
Ballex²: The Hanging Gardens $14.99 179 95% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Mushreb Games
A Game of Changes older $4.99 128 71% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) Nuno Donato
Tick Hop $2.99 196 79% 5.9k $18k (exactly $17,581) 小磊又饿又困
Car Hustle Simulator · EA $14.99 26 73% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Silent Code Games
Screw Drivers $7.99 39 74% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) Creactstudios
Hyposphere Z older $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Disoft Game Developers
Blaze in Space: Beat a-Maze older $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Manufractal Studio, Viabo Games
SixteenPetals · EA $6.99 17 47% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Husky366Studio
Ninja Ming: Wu $1.99 48 100% 1.4k $2.9k (exactly $2,866) 1 Poss Studio
Arrive In Time $3.99 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Hade Games
Pallet Jack Racing $0.99 56 94% 1.7k $1.7k (exactly $1,663) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Delta Vector - Turn Based Racing $3.99 12 83% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Felipe Pechmann
CarCam $3.99 8 25% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Movcans Vadims

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.