Do I ship it?

GamesLemmingsLemmings + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Lemmings Platformer?

Lemmings + Platformer

Only 6 developers shipped a Lemmings Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nickelodeon Splat Pack, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $480. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 5 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Lemmings + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Lemmings + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $802 (exactly $802)
Top 5% $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 34
Announced 5
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Lemmings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Lemmings, Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.67 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 5,391 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $800, 1 in 20 over $2.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Lemmings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PuzzleFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced
  2. + Puzzle PlatformerDead4 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  3. + ActionDead6 devs · median $2.7k · 3 announced
  4. + StrategyDead8 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + PhysicsDead4 devs · median $802 · 6 announced
  6. + AdventureDead5 devs · median $210 · 10 announced

All 6 pairs on the Lemmings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zombie Night Terror older $12.99 3,352 93% 101k $1.3M (exactly $1,306,274) NoClip
StrikeForce Kitty older $9.99 1,002 89% 30k $300k (exactly $300,299) Creepy Brothers
Moons Of Darsalon older $19.67 131 78% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,303) Dr. Kucho! Games
MouseCraft older $9.99 200 85% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Crunching Koalas
Flockers™ older $9.99 158 76% 4.7k $47k (exactly $47,353) Team17 Digital Ltd
Tin Hearts older $19.99 75 85% 2.3k $45k (exactly $44,978) Rogue Sun
Eets Munchies older $6.99 198 81% 5.9k $42k (exactly $41,521) Klei Entertainment
Crossing Guard Joe older $5.99 196 93% 5.9k $35k (exactly $35,221) September Games
So Many Me older $14.99 68 91% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Extend Studio
Nummels older $12.99 11 100% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Plattnip
Nickelodeon Splat Pack $14.99 6 83% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Mighty Rabbit Studios
Mine Safety $0.99 27 100% 810 $802 (exactly $802) DIG Games
Population Goals! $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Thirty55 Design
Chicky Blocks $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Gameaki
Road Place $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ozamiatin
Wettop $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SIMPLE THINK GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.