Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Racing game?

Racing + Interactive Fiction

Only 10 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Easy Delivery Co., made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $630. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 31935% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $16k → $0 → $180 → $3.1k
Outcomes for Racing + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 5% $3.7M (exactly $3,716,959)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 35
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 31935% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 95% positive over 9,634 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $3.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Easy Delivery Co. $12.99 9,538 95% 286k $3.7M (exactly $3,716,959) Sam C
Heading Out older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas
Crash Time - Undercover older $14.99 149 81% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,005) Synetic GmbH
Drift On Destiny Line · EA $14.00 51 82% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,420) Attractive Studios
Drive Me to Hell older $1.99 268 89% 8.0k $16k (exactly $16,000) MadBug Studio
Nirvana Pilot Yume older $3.99 122 75% 3.7k $15k (exactly $14,603) Dev9k
VR Run older $29.99 4 100% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) Elvio Lujan
SixteenPetals · EA $6.99 17 47% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Husky366Studio
Season 31 $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Main Sequence Star, Cal Chevreul, Lorra… (Main Sequence Star, Cal Chevreul, Lorrain Castel)
Speed Night older $4.99 12 66% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) MC GAME
Echo Wars - Road Rage $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Ivanovich Games
Life and death are predetermined by heaven $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Southern Vermilion Bird
Do Up $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Questich Studio
AboFlah-intelliFinish $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) obada alnakib
Consequently $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 臻新
Semantics $34.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Semantics

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.