Games › Racing › Racing + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Racing game?
Racing + Historical
Only 4 developers shipped a Historical Racing game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 8 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.7k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $959 (exactly $959) |
| Top 25% | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) |
| Top 5% | $67k (exactly $67,005) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 38%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Racing
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 17,179 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
Mafia 2002 · $4.0M 
Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ 2017 · $1.3M 
Rock of Ages 2011 · $1.0M 
GearCity 2022 · $850k 
Qvadriga 2014 · $175k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mafia | older | $14.99 | 8,896 90% | 267k | $4.0M (exactly $4,000,531) | Illusion Softworks |
| | Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ | older | $14.99 | 2,792 90% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,255,562) | ACE Team |
| | Rock of Ages | older | $9.99 | 3,364 92% | 101k | $1.0M (exactly $1,008,191) | ACE Team |
| | GearCity | older | $19.99 | 1,417 89% | 43k | $850k (exactly $849,775) | Visual Entertainment And Technologies |
| | Qvadriga | older | $19.99 | 291 84% | 8.7k | $175k (exactly $174,513) | Turnopia |
 | Crash Time - Undercover | older | $14.99 | 149 81% | 4.5k | $67k (exactly $67,005) | Synetic GmbH |
 | Cranks and Goggles | older | $1.99 | 159 79% | 4.8k | $9.5k (exactly $9,492) | Play Native Entertainment |
 | Derby Heroines: Run, Bet, Win! | $14.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO | |
 | Lotion samurai | older | $1.99 | 85 97% | 2.6k | $5.1k (exactly $5,074) | Retsu Teikoku |
 | Moxter | $9.99 | 9 55% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Aisten Lab, Dalton Bastos | |
 | Unexpected Pigeon Race | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | John E. Mansour | |
 | Population Quiz | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Source Byte |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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