Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Runner?

Grid-Based Movement + Runner

Only 13 developers shipped a Grid-Based Movement Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tetro Runner, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $30 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 5 announced, ×0.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $90 → $30 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $90 (exactly $90)
Top 5% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 31
Announced 5
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Grid-Based Movement, Runner
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 91% positive over 11 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $90, 1 in 20 over $1.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PathBlasters older $11.99 25 92% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) Sine Coda
SUPER Dungeon Muncher older $3.99 52 61% 1.6k $6.2k (exactly $6,224) n_nexy
Flying Soldiers older $17.99 9 100% 270 $4.9k (exactly $4,857) WildSphere
We See You older $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Paulius Giniotis
Highway of death older $1.99 35 68% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,090) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Tetro Runner $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Rollmop Games Studio
Sole Survivor: Stages of Death older $3.99 3 33% 90 $359 (exactly $359) WhaleWhistle
Block Wizard older $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Lefkos Savvides
Warp Dash $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Adweb
Gravity $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) VortexStudio
Cyber Sprinters $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Low-Poly Arcade
Miner to Die $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Mercimek Games
Infinite Bowling $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Alpex
King's Beat $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mikko Savikko
PYRO $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Yanfer
Unbeatable Maze $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Logical Fun Games
snaze $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Double E

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.