Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Grid-Based Movement game?

Grid-Based Movement + Romance

Only 6 developers shipped a Romance Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Midnight Sin, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×489 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.1k (exactly $1,075)
Top 5% $232k (exactly $232,084)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 27
Announced 9
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 81% positive over 414 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Midnight Sin $19.99 387 82% 12k $232k (exactly $232,084) Faerin Games
Felix The Reaper older $9.99 217 80% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,035) Kong Orange
Erocism older $6.99 44 68% 1.3k $9.2k (exactly $9,227) Momentum Games
Burning Faith older $14.99 8 62% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) ID Card
Savoring Sword older $9.99 12 83% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) CupCupMug
Cupid Kiss older $2.99 24 100% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) Supernova Games
Gakuin Makyo ~High School Crisis~ $1.99 18 50% 540 $1.1k (exactly $1,075) PISOFT Co., Ltd.
Cardful Planning older $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Walk Home Games
Searching Light $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Clovertales
Headspace $0.99 6 100% 180 $178 (exactly $178) DoctorLoops
Hentai Puzzle: Lily $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Sexy Baguette Studio
Hentai Puzzle: Selena $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Sexy Baguette Studio
2048 Dreams $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fizzle Pop Games
Hentai Puzzle: Reika $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sexy Baguette Studio
Hentai Puzzle: Cathy $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sexy Baguette Studio
Hentai Puzzle: Alerinna $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sexy Baguette Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.