Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Grid-Based Movement game?

Grid-Based Movement + Mythology

Only 17 developers shipped a Mythological Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mythmatch, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.0k, ×8.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×118 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $5.8k → $2.7k (still earning) → $1.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Median $5.0k (exactly $5,032)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,587)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $74,363)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 46
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Grid-Based Movement; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Puzzle
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 545 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $5.0k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $74k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
King Arthur: Knight's Tale older $44.99 6,722 83% 202k $9.1M (exactly $9,072,683) NeocoreGames
Operencia: The Stolen Sun older $29.99 537 76% 16k $483k (exactly $483,139) Zen Studios
King Arthur: Legion IX older $19.99 774 72% 23k $464k (exactly $464,168) NeocoreGames
Tiny Tactics older $9.99 661 82% 20k $198k (exactly $198,102) Tiny Forge Gaming
Islands of the Caliph older $9.99 272 88% 8.2k $82k (exactly $81,518) Schmidt Workshops
Mythmatch $19.99 124 98% 3.7k $74k (exactly $74,363) Team Artichoke
Touhou Spell Carnival $49.99 49 77% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, STING
Guards II: Chaos in Hell $15.99 125 96% 3.8k $60k (exactly $59,962) Battlecruiser Games
Chrysalis $9.99 118 84% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,365) Metamorph Games
Skyward Collapse older $4.99 184 49% 5.5k $28k (exactly $27,545) Arcen Games
Vinecard $9.99 42 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) SiriusStudio
Areteion $19.99 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) juxtapositioned
Sokobos 2 $9.99 23 100% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Martin Games
Navigating The Labyrinth $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Dragon Dropper
Trolls vs Vikings: Reborn $5.99 28 92% 840 $5.0k (exactly $5,032) Megapop
Twilight of Bronze $15.00 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,700) NonAverageStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.