Should I ship an FMV Racing game?
Racing + FMV
Only 7 developers shipped an FMV Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Captain Gazman Day Of The Rage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $630. 3 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 25% | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 5% | $6.5k (exactly $6,501) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 3 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing, FMV
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 26,182 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 3 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
Need for Speed™ 2020 · $23M 
Squad 51 vs. the Flying Saucers 2022 · $119k 
LocoCycle 2014 · $94k 
Hot & Lewd: Miami 2024 · $29k 
Captain Gazman Day Of The Rage 2024 · $6.5k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Need for Speed™ | older | $29.99 | 25,443 69% | 763k | $23M (exactly $22,891,067) | Ghost Games |
| | Squad 51 vs. the Flying Saucers | older | $19.99 | 199 91% | 6.0k | $119k (exactly $119,340) | Loomiarts, Fehorama Filmes |
| | LocoCycle | older | $9.99 | 312 83% | 9.4k | $94k (exactly $93,506) | Twisted Pixel Games |
| | Hot & Lewd: Miami | older | $9.99 | 98 84% | 2.9k | $29k (exactly $29,371) | Lust Desires 🖤 |
| | Captain Gazman Day Of The Rage | $6.99 | 31 96% | 930 | $6.5k (exactly $6,501) | Les Kalifas, Kazarma, VEB Videospielewe… (Les Kalifas, Kazarma, VEB Videospielewerk 'Bewegungsdruiden') | |
 | MegaRace 2 | older | $2.99 | 32 81% | 960 | $2.9k (exactly $2,870) | Cryo Interactive, Jordan Freeman Group |
 | Cyclemania | older | $4.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | Compro Games, Accolade |
 | Crossing Damaged Bridge | older | $4.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Dudu |
 | MegaRace 1 | older | $2.99 | 25 80% | 750 | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) | Cryo Interactive, Jordan Freeman Group |
 | Yeah Wow Hey | older | $5.99 | 7 57% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | Electric Maverick Game |
 | TOKYO OVERDRIVE | $3.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | FUNAKI GAMES | |
 | Life and death are predetermined by heaven | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Southern Vermilion Bird | |
 | Man For Takeaway | $1.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | zjf | |
 | Interpret | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 臻新 | |
 | Focus | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Li Chenpei, Li Chenpei | |
 | Ephemeral | $59.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | sdaj |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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