Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Racing game?

Racing + Farming Sim

Only 14 developers shipped a Farming Sim Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Unbridled: That Horse Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×581 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $0 → $13k → $657 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,134)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,486)
Top 5% $365k (exactly $365,104)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 41
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Farming Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Character Customization, Immersive Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 717 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Unbridled: That Horse Game · EA $24.99 487 85% 15k $365k (exactly $365,104) Mind Evotion Games
My Village Life · EA older $14.99 385 85% 12k $173k (exactly $173,134) Papucs Games
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Duck Life 9: The Flock older $9.99 190 83% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wix Games
Pocket Stables older $8.99 190 91% 5.7k $51k (exactly $51,243) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
The Economy Bros $19.99 56 82% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Devin Carlson
Shiny Ski Resort older $8.99 102 92% 3.1k $28k (exactly $27,509) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Rival Stars Horse Racing: VR Edition $19.99 41 85% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) PikPok
Horse Farm Simulator · EA $9.99 45 60% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Glow Egg Games
glitter older $29.99 10 100% 300 $9.0k (exactly $8,997) glitter
Tap Derby: Horse Racing $4.99 36 91% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Frost Warrior Studios
Extreme Forklifting 3 · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DevM Games
عامل المزرعة · EA $1.99 19 94% 570 $1.1k (exactly $1,134) SAAD ALSHARARI KSA
Teddy Horses · EA $1.99 11 90% 330 $657 (exactly $657) DodoModo, BoppoLoppo
Duty Free Shop Simulator · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) CLOWN MAGIC
Driveland $3.99 5 40% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Overshift Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.