Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Mining game?

Mining + Fantasy

Of 62 developers who shipped a Fantasy Mining game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.0k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×614 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 112 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 112 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.9k → $5.8k → $899 → $14k → $150 → $5.2k → $5.5k (still earning) → $7.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $5.0k (exactly $5,027)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,206)
Top 5% $292k (exactly $291,633)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 155
Announced 112
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Crafting, Simulation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 7,642 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $5.0k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sun Haven older $24.99 22,069 79% 662k $17M (exactly $16,545,129) Pixel Sprout Studios
UnderMine older $19.99 9,284 90% 279k $5.6M (exactly $5,567,615) Thorium
Melvor Idle older $9.99 14,630 90% 439k $4.4M (exactly $4,384,611) Games by Malcs
Hammerting older $24.99 1,733 57% 52k $1.3M (exactly $1,299,230) Warpzone Studios
cyubeVR · EA older $29.99 1,066 90% 32k $959k (exactly $959,080) Stonebrick Studios
Odd Realm older $19.99 954 84% 29k $572k (exactly $572,114) Unknown Origin Games Inc
Click Mage $4.99 2,529 91% 76k $379k (exactly $378,591) Tiny Crow Games
Island Notes $12.99 884 82% 27k $344k (exactly $344,495) KangBaoGame
Dwarf Eats Mountain $9.99 1,114 80% 33k $334k (exactly $333,866) Green Wizard
Ark of Charon $24.99 389 75% 12k $292k (exactly $291,633) Angoo Inc., SUNSOFT
Stonewards · EA $9.99 806 94% 24k $242k (exactly $241,558) Banana Tiger Studio
Nuclear Epoch $14.99 487 78% 15k $219k (exactly $219,004) Cat Play Studio
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
Hold The Mine · EA $14.99 338 83% 10k $152k (exactly $151,999) Hookaria Games
Seeds of Calamity $14.99 271 78% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Laborious Lark Studios
Kin and Quarry $9.99 400 75% 12k $120k (exactly $119,880) The Fox Knocks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.