Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler Racing game?

Racing + Dungeon Crawler

Only 12 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dino Ramen Express, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 7 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $148 → $120 → $300 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $300 (exactly $300)
Top 5% $72k (exactly $71,952)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 7
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 71% positive over 169 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $300, 1 in 20 over $71k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zup! 4 older $1.99 2,939 90% 88k $175k (exactly $175,458) Quiet River
Dino Ramen Express · EA $14.99 160 72% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,952) ANTIGames
Bugs Must Die / 异星特勤队 older $11.99 76 85% 2.3k $27k (exactly $27,337) DG Games Workshop
Rolling Ball: HD Remaster $59.99 2 50% 60 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) SUNYU Games
The shadow of the evil tower older $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) TitaniumCore Game
Hold Controller · EA older $3.60 5 100% 150 $540 (exactly $540) InkofCake
FRIENDSHIP ENDING MAZE $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) S.Y.M
Ultimate super boy $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) WaterGames
Truck Maxxing $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Lam3Studios
No Exit : Torments of Hell older $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) GameDev_ToolMaker
The last throne $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SLW Game Studio
Fantasy Journey $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) YIN LIFENG
Spider’s Climb $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) 夜行者
Liar's Game $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 林某人游戏工作室
Snowy Trail $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) AA Mini Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.