Do I ship it?

GamesResource ManagementResource Management + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Resource Management game?

Resource Management + Dragons

Only 12 developers shipped a Dragon Resource Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mind Over Magic, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $3.2M, ×5150 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Resource Management + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Resource Management + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,331)
Top 5% $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Resource Management
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,623 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $3.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Resource Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceFair102 devs · median $11k · 131 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair15 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  3. + WesternFair19 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  4. + SnowFair24 devs · median $3.8k · 36 announced
  5. + JRPGFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced
  6. + UnderwaterFair51 devs · median $2.3k · 74 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair167 devs · median $1.9k · 222 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair630 devs · median $1.8k · 1,025 announced
  9. + IdlerFair656 devs · median $1.6k · 979 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair322 devs · median $1.5k · 495 announced
  11. + HorsesFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 18 announced
  12. + Quick-Time EventsFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced

All 214 pairs on the Resource Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Circle Empires Rivals older $15.99 1,561 89% 47k $749k (exactly $748,812) Luminous
Drago Noka older $19.99 140 78% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) GeSEI unkan (ゲ製うんかん)
The Dragoness: Command of the Flame older $19.99 134 67% 4.0k $80k (exactly $80,360) Crazy Goat Games
Swords And Magic: Path Of Conquest · EA $9.99 128 77% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,362) ShadowMoon Wolf Game Tech Ltd
My Infamous Dungeon $14.99 63 76% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) BoxFox Studios
Dragon Forge older $9.99 72 38% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Legend Studio
My Fantastic Ranch: Unicorns & Dragons older $29.99 17 47% 510 $15k (exactly $15,295) Piece of Cake Fabulous
Mystika 3 : Awakening of the dragons older $5.99 72 93% 2.2k $13k (exactly $12,938) Unikgame
AFKandia - Epoch of Idle $5.99 66 45% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,860) Yang++ Game Studio
Classic Tower Defense 2 $2.99 24 95% 720 $2.2k (exactly $2,153) Blacksmith Forge
I Am Busy Digging A Hole $4.99 12 58% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Welding Byte
Isekai Idle $2.99 10 40% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Koarkgames
Dwarven Rails $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kogekisaru
Bob Saves the Princess · EA $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Milton_Filto
Monster And Continent $2.99 2 0% 60 $179 (exactly $179) lupengzhan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.