Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Grid-Based Movement game?

Grid-Based Movement + Cyberpunk

Of 26 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $55k, ×89 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $240 → $1.1k → $899 → $90 → $90 (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,396)
Top 5% $56k (exactly $55,772)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 53
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Grid-Based Movement; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, RPG, Roguelite
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,172 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $55k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
StarCrawlers older $19.99 793 82% 24k $476k (exactly $475,562) Juggernaut Games
Conglomerate 451 older $19.99 145 62% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) RuneHeads
GRIDbeat! $19.99 93 100% 2.8k $56k (exactly $55,772) Ridiculous Games
Shift'n Slay $11.99 89 79% 2.7k $32k (exactly $32,013) DREBOT game studio
StarCrawlers Chimera older $19.99 43 69% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) Juggernaut Games
Parcel older $4.99 140 84% 4.2k $21k (exactly $20,958) Polar Bunny Ltd
ASCIILL older $8.99 61 93% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,452) Andrei Fomin
Nomads of the Fallen Star older $12.99 37 70% 1.1k $14k (exactly $14,419) Huy Phan
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid
Positron · EA $14.99 19 100% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Retroburn
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
NULLPTR $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Jeferson Silva
Dataminers $6.99 21 95% 630 $4.4k (exactly $4,404) Electrocosmos
Gakuin Makyo ~High School Crisis~ $1.99 18 50% 540 $1.1k (exactly $1,075) PISOFT Co., Ltd.
Cyber Dungeon X Monster Girls $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) PixelSeraF

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.