Games › Racing › Racing + Crime
Should I ship a Crime Racing game?
Racing + Crime
Only 17 developers shipped a Crime Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $180M, ×301978 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 32 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,352) |
| Top 25% | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) |
| Top 5% | $190M (exactly $189,642,365) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Automobile Sim
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 213,271 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced 2025 · $190M 
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020 · $107M 
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014 · $42M 
Need for Speed™ Most Wanted 2020 · $15M 
Need for Speed™ Hot Pursuit Remastered 2020 · $12M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced | $29.99 | 210,784 83% | 6.3M | $190M (exactly $189,642,365) | Rockstar North | |
| | Mafia: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 88,955 86% | 2.7M | $107M (exactly $106,719,314) | Hangar 13 |
| | Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 70,499 94% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $42,278,250) | United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
| | Need for Speed™ Most Wanted | older | $19.99 | 25,197 77% | 756k | $15M (exactly $15,110,641) | Criterion Games |
| | Need for Speed™ Hot Pursuit Remastered | older | $29.99 | 13,583 81% | 407k | $12M (exactly $12,220,625) | Stellar Entertainment Limited |
 | LEGO® City Undercover | older | $19.99 | 7,414 91% | 222k | $4.4M (exactly $4,446,176) | Traveller's Tales |
 | Mafia | older | $14.99 | 8,896 90% | 267k | $4.0M (exactly $4,000,531) | Illusion Softworks |
 | Yakuza 5 Remastered | older | $19.99 | 6,199 88% | 186k | $3.7M (exactly $3,717,540) | RGG Studio |
 | Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) | older | $24.99 | 1,227 78% | 37k | $920k (exactly $919,882) | Jutsu Games |
 | Retro City Rampage™ DX | older | $14.99 | 1,688 88% | 51k | $759k (exactly $759,094) | Vblank Entertainment, Inc. |
 | Used Cars Simulator | · EA | $19.99 | 1,147 79% | 34k | $688k (exactly $687,856) | DreamWay Games |
 | Race of Life - Act 1 | $13.99 | 1,183 94% | 35k | $497k (exactly $496,505) | Underground Studio | |
 | Agent Horny - Season 1 | $14.99 | 66 75% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $29,680) | Mr.CreepGames | |
 | PAKO 4 | · EA | $9.99 | 23 91% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Tree Men Games |
 | Deliverage | $12.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $6.6k (exactly $6,625) | Majao Games | |
 | The Wanted 3 | $8.99 | 13 61% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | 瑶颜游戏 | |
 | Low and Furious | · EA | $6.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $3.1k (exactly $3,146) | Code IT Game Studio |
 | Miami Horizon 2077 | $4.90 | 16 75% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,352) | CJ | |
 | Jack's 510 Racing | $9.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | heartingNinja |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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