Do I ship it?

Games › Racing › Racing + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Racing game?

Racing + Collectathon

Of 49 developers who shipped a Collectathon Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×164 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 50 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 50 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $836 → $1.4k → $1.7k → $358 → $1.5k → $1.2k → $239 (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $597 (exactly $597)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 5% $103k (exactly $102,981)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 134
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing, Collectathon; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,223 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SimplePlanes 2015 · $3.8M Supercar Collection Simulator 2025 · $595k Kao the Kangaroo: Round 2 (2003 re-release) 2019 · $155k Canyon of Outlaws 2025 · $110k Rocket Boots Mania 2025 · $103k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SimplePlanes older $12.99 9,811 93% 294k $3.8M (exactly $3,823,347) Jundroo, LLC
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Kao the Kangaroo: Round 2 (2003 re-release) older $1.99 2,603 94% 78k $155k (exactly $155,399) Tate Multimedia
Canyon of Outlaws $39.99 92 89% 2.8k $110k (exactly $110,372) Javlier P
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
CHAIRS older $4.99 207 98% 6.2k $31k (exactly $30,988) The Rat Zone
SUPER 56 older $6.99 146 94% 4.4k $31k (exactly $30,616) Onion Soup Interactive
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Minit Fun Racer older $2.99 253 97% 7.6k $23k (exactly $22,694) JW, Kitty, Jukio, Dom
Mini Racer Car Shop Simulator $12.99 51 62% 1.5k $20k (exactly $19,875) Bewolba Studios
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
RoadOut $14.99 34 97% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Rastrolabs Game Studio
Derby Heroines: Run, Bet, Win! $14.99 17 94% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Bananitro $3.99 47 100% 1.4k $5.6k (exactly $5,626) Inventario

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.