Do I ship it?

GamesResource ManagementResource Management + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Resource Management game?

Resource Management + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 73 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Resource Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 176 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $1.1M, ×2349 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 176 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 155% on the market, 176 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Resource Management + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 73
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $25k → $20k → $5.3k → $1.9k → $4.2k → $2.9k → $1.5k (still earning) → $5.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Resource Management + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 73
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,242)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,115,554)
Developers, 2 yr 73
Released games 183
Announced 176
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Resource Management, Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Simulation, Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 26,073 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 176 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Resource Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceFair102 devs · median $11k · 131 announced
  2. + DwarvesFair15 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  3. + WesternFair19 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  4. + SnowFair24 devs · median $3.8k · 36 announced
  5. + JRPGFair36 devs · median $2.7k · 27 announced
  6. + UnderwaterFair51 devs · median $2.3k · 74 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair167 devs · median $1.9k · 222 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair630 devs · median $1.8k · 1,025 announced
  9. + IdlerFair656 devs · median $1.6k · 979 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair322 devs · median $1.5k · 495 announced
  11. + HorsesFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 18 announced
  12. + Quick-Time EventsFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced

All 214 pairs on the Resource Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Anno 1800 older $59.99 29,854 81% 896k $54M (exactly $53,728,244) Ubisoft Mainz
Anno 117: Pax Romana $59.99 12,150 69% 365k $22M (exactly $21,866,355) Ubisoft Mainz
Yes, Your Grace older $19.99 12,571 87% 377k $7.5M (exactly $7,538,829) Brave At Night
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Out of Ore older $24.99 3,978 85% 119k $3.0M (exactly $2,982,307) North Modding Company AB
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
Hollywood Animal · EA $19.99 3,845 73% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,305,846) Weappy Wholesome
Vagrus - The Riven Realms older $29.99 1,746 84% 52k $1.6M (exactly $1,570,876) Lost Pilgrims Studio
Sailwind · EA older $19.99 2,312 89% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,386,506) Raw Lion Workshop
Yes, Your Grace 2: Snowfall $24.99 1,488 76% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,115,554) Brave At Night
Celestial Empire · EA $19.99 709 89% 21k $425k (exactly $425,187) President Studio
Ways of Alchemy $17.99 674 74% 20k $364k (exactly $363,758) RocketBrush Games
Corner Kitchen Fast Food Simulator $13.99 411 85% 12k $172k (exactly $172,497) Purple Heads Games
Frostrain 2 $10.99 374 89% 11k $123k (exactly $123,308) nemonan
Dead in Antares $19.99 189 77% 5.7k $113k (exactly $113,343) Ishtar Games
SEX Guild Simulator ⚔️🔞 $14.99 210 59% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Lewd Star

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.