Do I ship it?

GamesRacingRacing + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Racing game?

Racing + Cats

Only 11 developers shipped a Cat Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Garfield Kart 2 - All You Can Drift, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $800, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×258 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Racing + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $90 → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Racing + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $802 (exactly $802)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Top 5% $162k (exactly $161,935)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 36
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Racing
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 68% positive over 405 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $800, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds14 devs · median $8.6k · 7 announced
  2. + ModernFair32 devs · median $3.3k · 34 announced
  3. + TransportationFair39 devs · median $2.3k · 35 announced
  4. + AutomationFair11 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair44 devs · median $748 · 42 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair11 devs · median $657 · 10 announced
  8. + Time ManipulationFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  9. + IdlerFair19 devs · median $505 · 13 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  11. + City BuilderLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds14 devs · median $34k · 37 announced

All 165 pairs on the Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Garfield Kart - Furious Racing older $14.99 10,475 88% 314k $4.7M (exactly $4,710,608) Artefacts Studio
Garfield Kart older $4.99 9,662 88% 290k $1.4M (exactly $1,446,401) Artefacts Studio
Kitten Burst older $19.99 384 98% 12k $230k (exactly $230,285) Jam2go
Garfield Kart 2 - All You Can Drift $24.99 216 45% 6.5k $162k (exactly $161,935) Eden Games
Meow Motors older $14.99 187 87% 5.6k $84k (exactly $84,094) ArtVostok
Heist Kitty: Multiplayer Cat Simulator Game older $14.99 67 70% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) LetMeowt Games LLC
CatboyZOOM · EA $9.99 95 97% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) Ethan Vuong, Brae Stoltz
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Fech The Ferret · EA older $24.99 19 78% 570 $14k (exactly $14,244) aucritas
Jones On Fire older $2.99 89 80% 2.7k $8.0k (exactly $7,983) Glass Bottom Games
RollCats $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Hoglet Interactive
City Multi Fun $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Net Get Games
Ratfall · EA $0.99 27 88% 810 $802 (exactly $802) charlesfactorydev
FastCato $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Dominik Palenik
CatShift · EA $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) RustyPallasCats
Cat Rhapsody $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Nero Cat Studio
Pets party · EA $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Zucke

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.