Do I ship it?

GamesGrid-Based MovementGrid-Based Movement + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Card Game?

Grid-Based Movement + Card Game

Of 41 developers who shipped a Grid-Based Movement Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 85 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $88k, ×187 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 85 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 85 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grid-Based Movement + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $422k → $22k → $22k → $4.5k → $1.7k → $539 → $180 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grid-Based Movement + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,183)
Top 5% $89k (exactly $88,591)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 98
Announced 85
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Grid-Based Movement, Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Strategy, Roguelike
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 20,489 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $88k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 85 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grid-Based Movement with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair22 devs · median $3.0k · 30 announced
  2. + EconomyFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 29 announced
  3. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  4. + MiningFair12 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair17 devs · median $809 · 17 announced
  6. + BuildingFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  7. + HackingFair14 devs · median $719 · 11 announced
  8. + SokobanFair143 devs · median $657 · 135 announced
  9. + ProgrammingFair23 devs · median $599 · 24 announced
  10. + DogsFair14 devs · median $599 · 7 announced
  11. + PlatformerFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced

All 126 pairs on the Grid-Based Movement page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vampire Crawlers: The Turbo Wildcard from Vampire Survivors $9.99 18,587 96% 558k $5.6M (exactly $5,570,524) poncle, Nosebleed Interactive
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition older $6.99 5,557 80% 167k $1.2M (exactly $1,165,303) Nomad Games
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG older $29.99 592 95% 18k $533k (exactly $532,622) D20Studios
Dungeon Drafters older $24.99 563 76% 17k $422k (exactly $422,081) Manalith Studios
For The Warp older $14.99 434 72% 13k $195k (exactly $195,170) Massive Galaxy Studios
Pawnbarian older $9.99 450 91% 14k $135k (exactly $134,865) j4nw
Dark Quest 3 older $18.99 231 73% 6.9k $132k (exactly $131,601) Brain Seal Ltd
Go Home Dinosaurs! older $9.99 344 93% 10k $103k (exactly $103,097) Fire Hose Games
Master of Piece · EA $14.99 197 86% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) I M GAME, I M fine
Takara Cards $14.99 112 83% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) Post Mortem Pixels
2 Fights in 2 Tight Spaces · EA $12.99 115 84% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Ground Shatter
Shuffle Tactics $14.99 95 70% 2.9k $43k (exactly $42,722) Club Sandwich
Meteorfall: Rustbowl Rumble $14.99 93 91% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) Slothwerks
Toads of the Bayou $9.99 137 72% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,059) La Grange
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Gold and Graves $5.99 180 86% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) Yoon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.