Games › Racing › Racing + Bullet Time
Should I ship a Bullet Time Racing game?
Racing + Bullet Time
Only 17 developers shipped a Bullet Time Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Too Tired To Die, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $60 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 23 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $60 (exactly $60) |
| Top 25% | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) |
| Top 5% | $25k (exactly $24,819) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Racing
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling, track content and opponent AI
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Racing, Bullet Time; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Arcade
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 159 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + ModernFair
- + TransportationFair
- + AutomationFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Time ManipulationFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Choices MatterFair
- + City BuilderLong shot
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Warstride Challenges | older | $19.99 | 242 89% | 7.3k | $145k (exactly $145,127) | Dream Powered Games |
| | Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush | older | $7.99 | 209 92% | 6.3k | $50k (exactly $50,097) | Giovanni Elgert |
| | Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever | older | $19.99 | 62 83% | 1.9k | $37k (exactly $37,181) | XR Games |
| | Too Tired To Die | $11.99 | 69 79% | 2.1k | $25k (exactly $24,819) | Be Fun House | |
| | Fishermurs | older | $4.99 | 127 67% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $19,012) | Reward Hunters |
| | Aerial_Knight's DropShot | $19.99 | 22 90% | 660 | $13k (exactly $13,193) | Aerial_Knight | |
| | Dynamic Shooting VR | older | $9.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Polyfun Games |
| | Deedlee Doo! Carkour! | $3.99 | 29 96% | 870 | $3.5k (exactly $3,471) | Just Purkey Games | |
| | Connor | older | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | MoonShine Games |
| | Arrive In Time | $3.99 | 15 93% | 450 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | Hade Games | |
| | PathUp! | $6.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) | Geghamyan Hrachya | |
| | Golfslinger | $7.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Chaos Cactus | |
| | Drift Survivors | $2.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | Kickflip Games | |
| | Limitless Runner | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | UnusualCrypt Studios | |
| | Color-Origin | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | LTC | |
| | 太和的疯狂农场 Taihe's Crazy Farm | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | 太和独游匠 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.