Do I ship it?

GamesMiningMining + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Bullet Hell?

Mining + Bullet Hell

Only 12 developers shipped a Mining Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kin and Conquest, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $59k, ×126 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 32 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 32 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mining + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $3.0k → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mining + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,655)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $59,640)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 27
Announced 32
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1000% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mining, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 571 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $900, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $59k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 32 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mining with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FarmingStrong odds18 devs · median $22k · 15 announced
  2. + TradingFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  3. + DwarvesFair17 devs · median $9.6k · 26 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  5. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  6. + AutomationFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  7. + Turn-Based StrategyFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  9. + NatureFair42 devs · median $2.4k · 49 announced
  10. + IdlerFair136 devs · median $2.3k · 185 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair63 devs · median $2.1k · 53 announced

All 91 pairs on the Mining page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Swarm Grinder older $7.99 1,163 76% 35k $279k (exactly $278,771) Last Bite Games
Kin and Conquest $9.99 199 73% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,640) The Fox Knocks
Repetendium · EA older $5.99 220 92% 6.6k $40k (exactly $39,534) Bearlex Games
Mining Survivors $4.99 132 74% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) Wonderbounce Games
Ballatory $7.99 82 78% 2.5k $20k (exactly $19,655) Mini Fun Games
Orb Breaker $4.99 118 61% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,665) Aarimous and Thornity
Gun Bombers older $3.99 35 91% 1.1k $4.2k (exactly $4,190) Antti Vaihia
DOWNMOUSE $3.99 25 92% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) WobblyHandStudio
The Lab and Dungeons older $5.99 9 77% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) DotXY100
Soulknight Survivor older $1.99 18 61% 540 $1.1k (exactly $1,075) SE Development
IRONBORNE $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Tres Interactive
Cosmic Crusher $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Mateusz P.
Zigdig $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) stehudz
Ironvale $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Kelmen Studios
Earth’s Last Defense Idle Fleet $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Jimmy Wilson, Colton Wilson, Hunter Wil… (Jimmy Wilson, Colton Wilson, Hunter Wilson, Julie A Wilson, Baylee Wilson, Jolie Wilson, Julie Wilson)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.