Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Sci-fi

Of 67 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Beat 'em up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 140 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×1026 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 140 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 140 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $2.4k → $449 → $3.0k → $809 → $6.1k → $239 (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,786)
Top 5% $488k (exactly $487,556)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 265
Announced 140
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Hack and Slash
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 9,033 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 140 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE older $29.99 69,104 96% 2.1M $62M (exactly $62,172,869) PlatinumGames
Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales older $49.99 39,234 93% 1.2M $59M (exactly $58,839,230) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
Remember Me older $29.99 11,128 83% 334k $10M (exactly $10,011,862) DONTNOD Entertainment
SD GUNDAM BATTLE ALLIANCE older $59.99 4,892 62% 147k $8.8M (exactly $8,804,132) ARTDINK
Furi older $19.99 11,246 90% 337k $6.7M (exactly $6,744,226) The Game Bakers
STAR WARS™ - The Force Unleashed™ Ultimate Sith Edition older $19.99 8,732 77% 262k $5.2M (exactly $5,236,580) LucasArts
Daemon X Machina: Titanic Scion $69.99 1,838 63% 55k $3.9M (exactly $3,859,249) Marvelous Inc.
M.A.S.S. Builder $24.99 3,729 85% 112k $2.8M (exactly $2,795,631) Vermillion Digital
SAND LAND older $59.99 1,018 86% 31k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) ILCA, Inc.
Gravity Circuit older $16.99 3,028 94% 91k $1.5M (exactly $1,543,372) Domesticated Ant Games
Star Fire: Eternal Cycle $16.99 1,012 91% 30k $516k (exactly $515,816) Ethereal Fish Studio
GODBREAKERS $19.99 813 70% 24k $488k (exactly $487,556) To The Sky
Kong: Survivor Instinct $24.99 338 71% 10k $253k (exactly $253,399) 7Levels
STAR WARS™: Episode I: Jedi Power Battles™ $19.99 355 78% 11k $213k (exactly $212,893) Aspyr
ADEN $8.99 670 96% 20k $181k (exactly $180,699) takayakata
Utawarerumono: ZAN $39.99 85 77% 2.6k $102k (exactly $101,974) AQUAPLUS
TRON: Catalyst $19.99 104 71% 3.1k $62k (exactly $62,369) Bithell Games
Rusty Seas $19.99 89 100% 2.7k $53k (exactly $53,373) Don't Feed the Wuff

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.