Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Exploration

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Exploration Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Exploration

Of 73 developers who shipped an Exploration Beat 'em up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×892 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 144 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 144 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Exploration
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 73
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $955 → $1.8k → $809 → $446 → $809 → $2.7k → $599 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Exploration: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 73
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 5% $424k (exactly $423,580)
Developers, 2 yr 73
Released games 234
Announced 144
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up, Exploration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 43,355 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Spider-Man 2 $59.99 33,433 83% 1.0M $60M (exactly $60,169,370) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales older $49.99 39,234 93% 1.2M $59M (exactly $58,839,230) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers older $39.99 18,880 75% 566k $23M (exactly $22,650,336) Aesir Interactive
Bully: Scholarship Edition older $14.99 37,562 84% 1.1M $17M (exactly $16,891,631) Rockstar New England
Dust: An Elysian Tail older $14.99 14,250 95% 428k $6.4M (exactly $6,408,225) Humble Hearts LLC
Record of Lodoss War-Deedlit in Wonder Labyrinth- older $19.99 7,132 92% 214k $4.3M (exactly $4,277,060) Team Ladybug, WSS playground
Daemon X Machina: Titanic Scion $69.99 1,838 63% 55k $3.9M (exactly $3,859,249) Marvelous Inc.
NINJA GAIDEN Σ [NINJA GAIDEN: Master Collection] older $39.99 2,492 82% 75k $3.0M (exactly $2,989,652) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Three Kingdoms Zhao Yun older $19.99 3,829 66% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,296,251) ZUIJIANGYUE Game
Soulstice older $39.99 1,845 76% 55k $2.2M (exactly $2,213,446) Reply Game Studios
Path of Kung Fu $14.99 4,880 72% 146k $2.2M (exactly $2,194,536) 游鲤化龙工作室
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Kong: Survivor Instinct $24.99 338 71% 10k $253k (exactly $253,399) 7Levels
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
Superhero Simulator · EA $5.99 867 73% 26k $156k (exactly $155,800) mightyraccoon! Studios
Oh So Hero! $9.99 255 94% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) Full Frontal Frog
Abyss Kitchen $11.99 202 89% 6.1k $73k (exactly $72,659) Pico Games
Paper Animal Adventure · EA $14.99 139 95% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,508) Cuddling Raccoons Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.