Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Dragons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dragon Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Dragons

Only 10 developers shipped a Dragon Beat 'em up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Double Dragon Revive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 620% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Dragons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Dragons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,192)
Top 5% $165k (exactly $164,803)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 9
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dragons
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 70% positive over 256 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DRAGON BALL XENOVERSE older $64.98 17,554 89% 527k $34M (exactly $34,219,768) DIMPS
DRAGON BALL XENOVERSE 2 older $19.99 45,155 90% 1.4M $27M (exactly $27,079,453) QLOC, Dimps Corporation
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT older $19.99 43,951 92% 1.3M $26M (exactly $26,357,415) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
DRAGON QUEST HEROES™ Slime Edition older $39.99 1,150 67% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,379,655) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Dungeons & Dragons: Chronicles of Mystara older $14.99 1,533 80% 46k $689k (exactly $689,390) Iron Galaxy Studios
Mirror of Heaven older $9.25 995 79% 30k $276k (exactly $276,112) EnjoyPlay Ltd
Double Dragon Revive $34.99 157 63% 4.7k $165k (exactly $164,803) YUKE’S
Loot Hero DX older $2.99 338 71% 10k $30k (exactly $30,319) VaragtP
Dragon Rage older $6.99 129 75% 3.9k $27k (exactly $27,051) Bulletproof Outlaws
The Legend of Yan Loong 1+2 older $12.99 61 57% 1.8k $24k (exactly $23,772) Creetor
Cat Gladiator $8.99 69 86% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,609) Funleeks Studio
Heroes of Mount Dragon $19.99 27 66% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) RuniQ
Seal of Shadows $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Cris Litvin
Rapax · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 大複
Forgotten spirit $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BurningGRP
INFEROS NUMINE : descent into darkness $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 2.5D Gaming Studio
Dragon Puncher $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) VITAMIN
Trigger of Silence $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LUO YUXIN
Tower Of Dogma $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OugenSoft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.