Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 6 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Beat 'em up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Don't Crash, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $480. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 257980% on the market, 21 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,180)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 36
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,138 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mayhem Brawler older $19.99 836 89% 25k $501k (exactly $501,349) Hero Concept
Whisper Trip older $4.99 90 60% 2.7k $13k (exactly $13,473) Walnut LLC
Weekend Warriors MMA older $5.99 65 80% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,680) MDickie
Don't Crash $4.99 68 98% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) Override Studio
Candle Daemon older $8.99 22 72% 660 $5.9k (exactly $5,933) Towndarktales
Soulsland older $4.99 32 59% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudi… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, NTStudios)
Samurai's Odyssey · EA $7.99 6 66% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) CODEUM GAMES, 11Gen
TinyCrack older $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) TeamTinyCrack
TOO LATE FOREST older $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) AquaEternity
Time Freeze older $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) M
Fast Mission $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) yonorof
Heinz Honor and Revenge $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Melongaming
The Light and the Shadow $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) EnrolaDev
MindUP $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Davit Hovhannisyan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.