Do I ship it?

GamesBeat 'em upBeat 'em up + Choices Matter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Beat 'em up?

Beat 'em up + Choices Matter

Of 25 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Beat 'em up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Beat 'em up + Choices Matter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $5.9k → $748 → $446 → $210 → $52k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Beat 'em up + Choices Matter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $446 (exactly $446)
Top 25% $9.3k (exactly $9,281)
Top 5% $92k (exactly $91,724)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 72
Announced 47
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Beat 'em up, Choices Matter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Hack and Slash, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Side Scroller, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 2,440 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $9.2k, 1 in 20 over $91k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Beat 'em up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $76k · 13 announced
  2. + RhythmFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  3. + CollectathonFair25 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair36 devs · median $539 · 41 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair11 devs · median $537 · 8 announced
  6. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $416 · 19 announced
  7. + NinjaLong shot29 devs · median $359 · 30 announced
  8. + Combat RacingLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds12 devs · median $58k · 37 announced
  10. + LootPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 29 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds74 devs · median $11k · 125 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds45 devs · median $11k · 71 announced

All 126 pairs on the Beat 'em up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers older $39.99 18,880 75% 566k $23M (exactly $22,650,336) Aesir Interactive
Punch Club older $9.99 12,098 81% 363k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,771) Lazy Bear Games
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Fight'N Rage older $19.99 2,557 92% 77k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,433) sebagamesdev
GOD FORSAKEN $13.99 1,728 67% 52k $725k (exactly $725,242) insight studio
BROK the InvestiGator older $19.99 985 97% 30k $591k (exactly $590,704) COWCAT
Mayhem Brawler older $19.99 836 89% 25k $501k (exactly $501,349) Hero Concept
Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues older $19.99 417 84% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Flux Games
Listen to the Wind older $11.99 421 73% 13k $151k (exactly $151,434) Papertiger Studio
Solas City Heroes older $19.99 179 88% 5.4k $107k (exactly $107,346) Skyflare Studios, MrZGames
Warrior of Lust $11.99 255 79% 7.7k $92k (exactly $91,724) Aerisetta
Mad King Redemption · EA $14.99 159 84% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,502) SECRET MISSION
FUTA FIGHT & FUCK 🥊 $14.99 115 92% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) BanzaiProject
Lady Death Demonicron $39.99 36 47% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) Art Of Play Interactive
Memory Lost $19.99 53 92% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Magic Hazard
Creepy Creepy Love $4.99 62 93% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) BYYONI Entertainment
Goat Survivor $7.99 25 68% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) DUMARU Inc.
Harem Rush! Impish Fantasy $17.99 5 100% 150 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) MenZ Studio
Carnage in Space: Crucible $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) John Brink

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.